I DON’T know about you but I’m excited about the prospect of the monthly five thousand naira promised to some twenty five million Nigerians. At least, I would now have to take that burden out of my own lean budget. And I don’t have to be sending recharge cards to folks, who normally resell the cards to raise dough. Some people may even be smart enough to start a success story of theirs from the seed money. There are many possibilities. That is why I was disheartened the other day when Senator Phillip Aduda was shouted down when he raised the matter on the floor of the senate. And I don’t always support the burly Abuja-breed, Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) senator but I was one with him on the issue.
I later understood that his All Progressives Congress (APC) colleagues booed him because they believed there was blackmail in his submission. I really don’t know about that. I mean what is so black mailing about reminding people of their promises? And that is one of my many pains with the ruling party. It appears it has bitten off too much than it can digest. And now, in the face of reality, the APC wants to play hooky by bringing up all sorts of excuses.
First was the silent denial of the promises by the new Doyin Okupe; then the appeal to reason (“you know we have too many problems”); then the outright refusals to shameful roundabouts like in the fuel subsidy matter.
But while many Nigerians want to quickly move on without bugging the new government with many reminders, one issue that won’t go is the N5000 matter. This has clearly become the albatross of the administration. Now, I don’t know why the APC made that promise because they really didn’t need to make it. After all, they were already enjoying a cult following and the campaign was doing very well. Nigerians were almost in agreement that sixteen years of the then ruling party was enough. Many voters didn’t even bother to know the meaning of the acronym “APC”. All that mattered then was the dislodging of a party that, for many, was synonymous with all that is wrong with the third world. In the long months before the general election, many were prepared to vote for Satan himself than remain in the PDP stranglehold. It was indeed not for the love for the new party and its candidate but for the abnegation of the old order and its helmsman. So, yes, the new party was coasting home to victory. The almighty United States of America even tacitly supported it and the international body language suggested change was desirable.
In such a very cosy position, the APC really didn’t need to make bombastic pledges. APC could have been realistic enough to admit that certain things would be difficult; that light won’t suddenly improve; that corruption won’t just go away overnight; and that some of the PDP methods would be copied in the war against terrorism; that the president doesn’t have a magic wand to revamp the economy. A little down to earth candour would have helped. But that is naïve of me. You don’t win elections by going about saying the truth and admitting your limitations. Except if your name was Danbaba Suntai. I was in the former governor’s campaign trail in the electioneering months of 2011 and one of the most iconoclastic things he did was to apologise for promises he couldn’t keep. In some places, the governor would practically beg to be forgiven by the electorate. He would show signs of sincere contrition, as he explained his limitations. At first, I thought the approach was defeatist and self-effacing because our people were not used to such apologies from politicians. But it worked as the electorate warmed up to him. They saw him as a sincere personality who was realistic enough to admit his mistakes and failures in a world of supermen. They promptly gave him a second mandate!
So, APC should have been more realistic about the social contract. And on this issue of five thousand naira, you wonder how they would pull it off. Even with my F9 Mathematics, I know the thing would cost N1.5 trillion annually. And although there is better transparency now (what with the President’s body language of dread), one still wonders if the exercise would not go the ill-fated SURE-P way. After all, the way to hell is paved with the best of intentions.
But that one is their headache.
Right now, let’s talk about what you are going to do with your share of the trillion-naira. What would you do with N5000? Someone says it depends on what part of the country you dwell. If, for instance, you live in Port Harcourt, N5000 won’t survive five minutes of hanging out at a joint. But the same amount may make some sense in a remote outback in Zamfara State – one of the poorest states in Nigeria. In Abuja, five thousand naira in a month is a nightmare. First, the cost of living is abnormal here. Secondly, even if you live in the backyards like I do, life is still very tough because everywhere in Abuja is still “Abuja”. Some people feel the best thing to do is to equip citizens with the right skills and then empower them with the stipends. Others believe such funds could be assigned to states on a monthly basis to revamp the SME sectors. 1.5 trillion naira can also build industries to employ people yearly.
Lining pockets with the paltry sum each month may look like a cool way to end poverty. But a closer examination shows that it may turn out to be another nightmare waiting to happen. If all that a man does is wait for five thousand naira each month, without any skills or purpose in life; what is the fate of such a creature? Money minus a proper plan is equal to poverty raised to power two. But I’m not a pessimist and I truly pray that this works better than all the previous poverty alleviation efforts of the past.